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Systemic Risk (2nd edition)

Systemic Risk (2nd edition)

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Both the risk management profession and the financial supervisory and regulatory framework are undergoing deep structural changes brought on by the global financial crisis of 2008. Nowadays, market analysts, regulators and supervisors face the challenge of evaluating the risk profile of financial institutions in a systemic context.

Systemic Risk Assessment and Oversight presents these tools and meth­ods within the context of a bottom-up portfolio approach to systemic risk. While several of the methods and tools explored in the first half of the book can be used independently, the portfolio approach offers a unified framework to understand how risk flows from individual institutions to the system. Within this framework, it becomes easier to understand the scope of the tools and methods, as well as their limitations.

This second edition presents the material in five different sec­tions:

  1. An overview of systemic risk that emphasises an operational definition useful for guiding the development of quantitative tools.
  2. Develops and explains tools use­ful for evaluating the stand-alone default risk of financial institu­tions, as well as of non-financial corporations and, in certain in-stances, sovereigns.
  3. The third section builds upon the above to construct system­ic risk measures and methods to assess how default risk can spill over across institutions.
  4. Discusses ad­vances in the analysis of financial networks.
  5. Regulation and macroprudential policy.
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Table of contents

About the Author ixPreface xiAcknowledgements xv

Part I Systemic risk: why it matters to market and policy practitioners 11 Why Systemic Risk Oversight Matters 3 2 The Bottom-up Approach to Systemic Risk 21

Part II Measuring the risk of individual institutions3 Fundamental Information and Firm-level Risk 4 Extracting Risk Measures from Credit Derivatives and Bonds 5 Equity-implied Methods and Risk-neutrality Transformations

Part III From institution-specific risk to systemic risk6 Systemic Risk Measurement: Statistical Methods 7 CoRisk: Quantile Regressions in Practice 8 Balance-sheet Network Analysis 9 The Portfolio-based Approach to Systemic Risk

Part IV Other advanced analytical methods10 Advances in Modelling Systemic Risk in Financial Networks 11 Agent-based Models of the Financial System

Part V Regulatory issues12 The Regulation of Systemic Risk 13 The Effectiveness of Macroprudential Policy

EpilogueReferencesAbbreviations