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Risk Model Validation (2nd Edition)

Risk Model Validation (2nd Edition)

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This new edition provides financial institutions with a toolbox to raise the key questions when it comes to integrating the results of quantitative risk models into business decisions.

Readers will be able to:

  • Evaluate the validity of a model;
  • Judge the model’s quality, consistency and regulatory compliance;
  • Improve a framework for validation; and
  • Tailor a model-risk approach for their institution.

Chapters include:

  • Basics of Quantitative Risk Models
  • How Can a Risk Model Fail?
  • The Regulatory Perspective on Risk Model Validation
  • Validation Toolbox 1: Focus on Model Results
  • Validation Toolbox 2: Focus on Model Assumptions
  • Validation Toolbox 3: Focus on Data and Software
  • Implementing a Model Risk Framework
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About the Author

Table of contents

About the Authors ix

Abbreviations xi

Introduction 1

PART I: QUANTITATIVE RISK MODELS 5

1 Basics of Quantitative Risk Models 7

2 Usage of Statistics in Quantitative Risk Models 21

3 How Can a Risk Model Fail? 41

PART II: MODEL RISK AND RISK MODEL VALIDATION 77

4 The Concepts of Model Risk and Validation 79

5 Model Risk Frameworks 103

6 Validation Tools 119

7 Regulation 161

PART III: MODEL RISK IN MARKET RISK MODELS 187

8 The Short-term Perspective 189

9 A Benchmark Model for Market Risk 207

10 The Medium-term Perspective 247

PART IV: MODEL RISK IN CREDIT RISK MODELS 271

11 Modelling and Simulation 273

12 Data 293

13 Model Results 319

14 Conclusion 345

References 351

Index 363