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Credit Modelling (2nd edition)

Credit Modelling (2nd edition)

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The book reveals to traders how to consistently outperform credit benchmarks, how to hedge the credit risk premium, and how to overcome pension liability deficits. In addition, several successful trading strategies are presented including debt versus equities, Co-Co bond trading and a quantitative analysis of the municipal bond market.

Chapters include:

  • Credit Models, Past Present and Future
  • Predicting Annual Default Rates and Implications for Market Prices
  • Risk and Relative Value in the Municipal Bond Market
  • Contingent Collateral Bonds
  • Model for Sovereign Default and Relative Value
  • Beating Credit Benchmarks
  • Analyzing and Hedging Systemic Liquidity Risk
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Table of contents

Part 1 - History and Major Themes

1. Introduction and Motivation

2. Credit Models, Past Present and Future

3. The Credit Risk Premium

4. Predicting Annual Default Rates and Implications for Market Prices

5. Risk and Relative Value in the Municipal Bond Market

Part 2 - New Credit Models and Trading Strategies

6. Predicting Bank Defaults

7. Contingent Collateral Bonds

8. Model for Sovereign Default and Relative Value

9. Beating Credit Benchmarks

10. Equity and Debt Risk Premium Trade

Part 3 - Credit Portfolio Management

11. Credit Portfolio Management

12. Managing Pension Fund Liabilities

13. Simulating Combined Spread and Default Moves

14. Black-Litterman Optimization Demystified

15. Analyzing and Hedging Systemic Liquidity Risk